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Tricom Today Stock Market Report 6-3-09
The SFE Futures suggested a 50 point fall in the market. BHP and RIO both down in ADR form overnight – 6.77% and 5.88% respectively. Metals mostly down overnight – Copper down 1.6%, Zinc up 1.47% and Aluminium down 2.87%. Nickel down 2.0%. Oil price down 3.8% to $43.54 after China released little detail about the further stimulus package to boost their economy. US government reports suggested the demand for energy could still drop further.
Gold up $21.10 to $927.80.Bonds up with the 10 year yield down to 2.81%. A$/US$ down 1.64% to 63.86. Financials down 9.9% – Citigroup had an intraday fall of 13% to 98c on fears it will not escape nationalization. Its market cap has fallen from $270bn to $5.4bn over the last two years. Diversified banks down 16.5%. Diversified financial services down 13.2%. General Motor’s future is being questioned – the auditors of its annual report raised serious doubt about whether the company could remain liquid – GM has already had $30bn in handouts from the government. The market is down 48 in-line with the 50 point fall predicted by the Futures this morning. Quiet session ahead of Labour Day on Monday. -
Tricom Today ASX Stock Market Report 5-3-09
The SFE Futures suggest a 72 point rise in the market. BHP and RIO both up in ADR form overnight – 8.70% and 11.14% respectively. Metals up strongly overnight – Copper up 5.82%, Zinc 8.02% and Aluminium 3.42%. Nickel up 3.89%. Oil price up 8.9% to $45.28. Oil up with the rally in the general markets and on reports that crude levels in US storage has unexpectedly shrunk. Gold down $6.90 to $906.70Bonds down with the 10 year yield up to %2.9874. A$/US$ up to 65c. Financials closed 3.5% down after being up as much as 3.5% – down after Reuters reported a congressional subcommittee will meet on March 12th for a hearing on the mark-to-market accounting rules that could result in financials taking huge writedowns on their problem assets. Diversified banks down 10.2% – investors worried about news that Bancorp (Minneapolis-based bank) will cut its dividend by 88% – it was seen as one of the healthier banks. General Electric down to 18-year-lows on the fact that they might have to inject more cash into GE Capital. GE denied they required any outside assistance with capital saying they had ample liquidity. Credit agencies are warning their AAA rating is in danger of being downgraded. GE was down 17% on the open but rallied to close down only 4.5% – GE’s strength gave support to the broad-based market. The market is up 40 – a little disappointing considering the 72 point rise predicted by the SFE Futures this morning. BHP has been holding up the market all morning – boosting the index 28 points alone at midday.
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Tricom Today ASX Stock Market Report 4-3-09
The SFE Futures suggested a 25 point fall in the market this morning.BHP and RIO both up in ADR form overnight – up 4.44% and 0.84% respectively. Metals mostly up overnight – Copper up 4.55%, Zinc up 3% and Nickel 1.05%.
Aluminium down 0.23%. Oil price up 3.7% to $41.57. Oil managed to hold early advances but trading was volatile after the last few weeks of losses in the face of a continuing synchronized global downturn. Gold down $26.40 to $913.60. Bonds down with the 10 year yield up to %2.88255. A$/US$ up to 63.73c. January Pending home sales down 7.7%- worse than the 3.5% expected. Job losses
are continuing and consumer confidence remains at all-time lows. Treasury secretary Geithner reiterated in Congress that Obama’s budget deficit was required to make long-term investment in healthcare, energy and education – the comments didnt support market buying. The market is down 47 – bit disappointing considering the 25 point fall predicted by the SFE Futures this morning. Industrials the only sector up with Brambles outperforming, but most sectors struggling, most notably Property trusts. Energy stocks down despite the oil price bouncing overnight. 4th Q GDP Number is a bit of a horror – against consensus estimates for a small positive number of +0.2% the number has come out at -0.5%. -
Tricom Today Stock Market Report 3-3-09
The SFE Futures suggested a 78 point fall in the market. BHP and RIO both down heavily in ADR form overnight – 7.85% and 9.9% respectively. Metals all down overnight – Copper down 3.26%, Zinc down 2.39% and Aluminium 1.79%. Nickel down 4.50%. Oil price down 4% to $40.07. Three-day rally over on the deteriorating outlook for the world economy. Gold down $2.50 to $940.00. Bonds up with the 10 year yield down to 2.86%. A$/US$ down to 63.01c. The Bank of America’s CEO is saying the $20bn he borrowed from the government to buy out the failing Merrill Lynch last year was a ‘tactical mistake’.Materials and Energy stocks down 6.9% and 6.4%. The market is down 48 and in-line with the 87 point fall predicted by the SFE Futures this morning. It was down 97 at worst. Not a lot of company related news and no real theme this morning except everything’s down. One feature is Macquarie Group which has bounced from being down 4.8% to up 7.0% at its peak. No announcement and have yet to dig up a reason.
RBA Meeting Today – Decision at 2.30pm – Lots of opinions about what they will do. A Dow Jones newswire consensus of 18 economists suggest a consensus for a 25bp cut. -
Tricom Today ASX Stock Market Report 2-3-09
The SFE Futures suggested a 40 point fall in the market. BHP and RIO both down in ADR form overnight BHP down 1.94% and RIO down 2.76%. Metals down overnight – Copper down 0.03%, Zinc down 0.88% and Aluminium down 1.61%. Nickel down 0.55%. Oil price up 2.3% to $0.97. Gold unchanged $942.50. Bonds down with the 10 year yield up to 3.01775%. A$/US$ down 1.75% to 63.64c. 4Q GDP down to an annualized rate of -6.2% from the estimated -3.8%. Exports down, personal consumption down, equipment and software down, and investment in the residential sector was down. Government spending helped to buoy the numbers. Citigroup will swap common stock for preference shares from the government giving them a 36% stake in the bank. Standard & Poor’s moves Citigroup to Negative. Moody’s also lowered their long term rating on the bank. Industrials down 2.7% and down 18% for the month- GE slashes its dividend to $0.10 from $0.31. The cut will protect its AAA credit rating. Merkel and other EU leaders rejected a massive bailout for eastern Europe Germany said eastern European states should be granted cash injections via a case by case scenario not wholesale as many in the EU were pushing for. Earnings reports were dour GAP, Kohl’s and Dell all missed 4Q expectations. Bad start to the week – we are down 84 having been down 111. Worse than the 40 point fall predicted by the futures this morning. Financials and Industrials down 4.3% and 4.8% respectively following Wall Street’s poor session on Friday. BHP knocking 19 points off the index on its own by midday. The RBA decide on interest rates tomorrow – the bond market has factored in a 75% chance of a 50bp cut – if they cut rates it will be the sixth time in a row.
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Tricom Today ASX Stock Market Report 23-2-09
The market is down 46 after being down 90 earlier poor performance today underperforming the 3 point rise predicted by the SFE Futures this morning. Property down 2.3% – all the big names down Westfield Group down 3.6% at midday. They have results this week. Caltex down 6.1% on broker downgrades this morning after results down 95% on Friday. All other energy stocks down on the lower oil price Friday. Gold stocks all up on the gold price breaking through the $1000 barrier Friday. Small miners mostly down on lower metal prices. Industrials down 4.6% – Fairfax down, Virgin Blue down, and Transfield Services down on results. Cochlear down nearly 4.4% at midday having gone ex dividend 80c. Macquarie Infrastructure down 7% and Macquarie Airports down 5.3% on suggestions that the Macquarie stable is being shorted whilst Macquarie Group remains protected by the shorting ban on financials which comes off on Friday week. MQG still fell 14% last week. Financials down 1.3% following a turbulent session in the sector in the US Friday where financials were down 9% at one stage on concerns over the need for Citigroup and the Bank of America to be nationalised. Our Banks all down 1-2% around midday. ANZ down 2.5%.
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Tricom Today Stock Market Report 16-2-09
The market is down 36, down 59 at worst in-line now with the 22 point fall predicted by the SFE Futures this morning. Most sectors down. BHP and RIO down 1.4% and 1.8%. Only energy, consumer staples and healthcare up slightly. Industrials down 3.0% with Brambles down 7% early on posting 1H NPAT of US$195.3m. Challenger up 6.4% on normalised net profit up 3.9% to $105.9m. Gold stocks mixed on the lower gold price. Energy stocks mostly
down despite the 10% jump in the oil price on March contract short covering. PanAust up 8% early on announcing production costs. Financials down 1.1%. Banks mixed. CBA down 4.1% after going ex dividend 113c. -
Tricom Today 13-2-09
The Aussie market is up 32 basically in-line with the 20 point rise predicted by the SFE Futures this morning. Pretty quiet not much news apart from RIOs Chinalco deal and a few results. RIO is down 3.9%. BHP down 0.4%. Resources underperforming this morning down 0.4% on lower metal prices and a drop in the oil price. Oz Minerals announced they will incur writedowns of between $2.3bn-$2.8bn in FY08 accounts, including asset impairments.
Financials up 1.3% – banks all up by 1pm. ANZ up 7.7%after ruling out a capital raising in anannouncement last night noted their tier 1 ratio stood at 8.35%, well above regulatory requirements.Property sector down 2.8%. Westfield down another 4.1%. DXS down 5.8%.Last day to buy the CBA before it goes ex dividend 113c on Monday. Unchanged today at 3095c.The governments $41.5bn fiscal stimulus package has just been approved in the Senate. -
Tricom Today 12-2-09
The market is up 62 outperforming the 13 point rise predicted by the SFE Futures this morning. Having a strong day after showing great resilience yesterday following a terrible night on Wall Street Tuesday. All sectors bar property up on the open. The resources sector isleading the way BHP up 1.9% and RIO in a trading halt pending results this afternoon and a deal with Chinas Chinalco buying US$12bn worth of assets and making a US$7bn investment in equity. Fortescue Metals up over 6% early on. Energy stocks up despite the fall in the oil price and the decline in US energy stocks overnight. Gold stocks continuing their rally Newcrest and Lihir up 4.1% and 5.7% on another $22 jump in the gold price. Smaller gold stocks doing better than that. Industrials up 2.1% – Coca-Cola posted solid results up 3.5% early on. Fosters pumpingup over 5% at 11am on no news. Other risers include Orica,United Group, Toll, Macquarie Airports on no obvious news. CBA up another 3.0% afterresults yesterday. NAB down again. Seems the switch out of ANZ and NAB into CBA continues with NAB and ANZ seen as most likely to cut dividends. Mining Services sector having a moment as well with Macmahon up 9.5% and Monadelphous up 4.6%. Bradken down 7.5% on results yesterday Goldman Sachs JB Were have cut their earnings numbers by 12% and 35% quoting debt concerns and an uncertain outlook.
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Tricom Today 11-2-09
The market is down 27, doing better than the 80 point fall predicted by the SFE Futures this morning and is down just 1.1% despite a 4.6% fall on Wall St post a disappointing bank rescue plan which made it clear that there is no Obama miracle cure for the financial crisis after all. It has been terribly received in the US and criticized for a lack of detail. It seems the new administration are still making it up as they go along and have no convincing strategy to stop the financial crisis. Resources down 1.8% with metals all down. BHP down 2.8%. RIO up 1.9%. Energy stocks down on the lower oil price. Gold stocks mixed . Newcrest, Lihir and Sino Gold down, but smaller players up. One broker predicts another 3 year bull market in gold. Financials are down 0.7% – banks all down 1-2% early on with CBA up 0.7% and outperforming on the back of 1H results in-line with their profit upgrade last week. CBA will pay 113c dividend which goes ex on Monday. Property down 1.1% as Stockland Group posted a 1H NPAT loss of $726m with 1H revenue loss of $803m . SGP down 7% early on. Westfield down 1.0%.
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Tricom Today 10-02-09
The market is down 37 underperforming the 27 point rise predicted by the SFE Futures this morning. Property down 0.6% with Westfield and Stockland down 1.3% and 5.0% . one broker cut their recommendation on SGP to NEUTRAL from Buy this morning and price target from 400c to 300c ahead of tomorrow.s results. ING Industrial Fund up 9.1% on asset sales. Financials down 1% with the banks all down . ANZ down 2.3%. Diversified financials down . Australian Wealth Management down 7% after it posted a 1H loss of $131m and declared no interim dividend. IOOF Holdings down 4.5% on their half year results. Henderson Group down 2.4%. Industrials up 0.2%. Tabcorp Holdings down 7% as it goes ex dividend. Cochlear up 3% after reporting 1H net profit up 22% and forecasting 20% growth for the FY. JB Hi-Fi up 13% on their 41% increase in 1H profit and 50% interim dividend hike to 15c. Resources down 1.0% – BHP and RIO both down 0.3% and 3.5% with RIO.s chairman elect resigning over a dispute on how to manage their debt issue. Gold stocks all down on the lower gold price . Sino Gold down 5.2%. Small miners mixed on mixed metal prices. Oil stocks mixed on the lower oil price . waiting in anticipation on the stimulus package being pushing through the Senate in the next day or two.
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Tricom Today 9-2-09
The market is up 36 – up 59 at best this morning – underperforming the 85 point rise predicted by the SFE Futures. Financials up only 0.2% – bit disappointing after the 8% rise in US financials Friday ahead of the Obama Administration’s update on the new stimulus package due Monday. The resources sector up 3.6% on the back of BHP and RIO up 3.8% and 5.6% – following strong performances in the US overnight. Miners all up on the rise in metals prices Friday. Energy stocks mixed on the lower oil price. Industrials up 1.1% – Orica up 7.8% early. Coca-Cola Amatil (CCL) was down 12% on the open as it parent Coca-Cola Co ceased merger talks with Lion Nathan (LNN) over the weekend. LNN up 4% on the announcement.
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Tricom Today 6-2-09
The market is up 28 slightly underperforming the 56 point rise predicted by the SFE Futures this morning. All sectors up. Property leading the way up 3.2% with Stockland Group up 5.8% after recent savage falls. Banks all up between 1-2% responding to a solid rise in the US banks overnight. NAB gave a trading update with no disasters. News Corp down 5% as they slash their earnings guidance and report a shabby set of interim results. Resources up over 1% as BHP and FMG keep rising on the theme of higher shipping rates and iron ore volumes and prices. Iron ore stocks having a moment in the sun. Small resources stocks up despite the fall in metals overnight Kagara Limited up nearly 11% early on. Nickel stocks strong on the China theme.Gold doing well on the higher gold price. Newcrest and Lihir up 3.5% on the open. Oil stocks mostly up on the slightly higher oil price.
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